Maybe Some Storms Later...

It's a warm and borderline muggy afternoon in the region -- temperatures are in the low and mid 80's in many locations and with a stiff southwest wind it feels a bit summery outside today.   While the cold front that will put the brakes on the warmth is still out across Western Pennsylvania, a few thunderstorms have tried to pop up ahead of the front.   However, a lack of upper dynamics plus limited instability is keeping thunderstorms from blossoming into full blown severe storms and even weakened the complex of storms that is currently near Scranton on the radar.

Most of the organized severe weather is farther southwest, setting up with an upper level disturbance back in the Ohio Valley.  This system will organize a low pressure center that will track through here on Tuesday afternoon and night, bringing us consistent and steadier showers or period of rain as well as colder temperatures due to the low tracking to our south and the cold front slipping past us early tomorrow morning. A few rumbles of thunder and a period of rain are likely later on tonight with the cold front itself (look back by Pittsburgh for the smattering of thunderstorms and rain) but the odds for severe weather are decreasing.   The Storm Prediction Center still has Pennsylvania under a slight risk for severe weather and one can't rule out a strong gust of wind with any thunderstorms that do pop in the next few hours.     However, the threat is relatively limited overall.

Enjoy the warmth though -- the one day surge into the mid 80's will be quickly replaced by a cool down tomorrow!

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