Jumat, 22 April 2011

Could Easter Feature 80 Degree Warmth?

The approaching warm front that will lift northward tonight and tomorrow will bring warmth to the region. Depending on how much sun we see on Easter Sunday, prospects are increasing that parts of the region might see 80 degree temperatures. While we did not forecast it in our earlier forecasts, trends throughout today on the NAM and in other computer models do show the potential that temperatures on Easter could be more like Memorial Day...if everything breaks right.


Sunshine may be a premium on Easter but if some sunshine does break out the NAM is showing some low 80's in parts of South Jersey and Delaware, with mid to perhaps upper 70's in Philadelphia.   The GFS was suggesting low 80's in one computer model run, mid 70's in another throughout the day.   The lack of consistency in this makes any forecast for Sunday less-than-ideal confidence -- the position of the front, how much precipitation, and cloud cover will all play a factor in Sunday.

Speaking of precipitation, there is a chance for some thunder on Sunday afternoon into evening.  Computer models show a wave of low pressure working east along the frontal boundary and enhancing some precipitation chances across the region for Sunday afternoon.   One can't rule out the potential for some thunderstorms in the afternoon as well.   Unlike tonight's and early Saturday's rain, this does not look like a widespread event for the region.

After tonight and early tomorrow's chilled showers, get ready for some warmth....while the frontal boundary hangs out around town.

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