Potential Storms Passing Just North Late Tonight?

I mentioned earlier today in a couple of posts  that areas north of Philly could see some late night thunder tonight.   Here are those storms on the radar/surface map up above, currently situated in Ohio and Michigan.  They have pummeled parts of Michigan with tornadoes and strong wind and are working into Lake Erie and across the northern parts of Ohio.   The southern flank of these storms -- generally the stuff that's working south of Lake Erie -- could graze northern parts of our area late tonight and early on Memorial Day morning with a round of loud thunder as these work east along the northern periphery of a subtropical ridge of high pressure.   The subtropical high brings us our upcoming heat and humidity event from Monday through Wednesday, with weak disturbances working along the northern edge of the high and producing thunderstorms with them.   If you've heard of the 'ring of fire' term thrown around before this is somewhat similar to a ring of fire setup since the "fire" in the form of thunderstorm complexes are usually associated with atmospheric disturbances.

The higher resolution modeling (below) shows the potential for those storms to survive their trek east tonight and cross parts of the region as day breaks on Monday.   Timing could be a bit earlier than what the high res is suggesting -- my thought is any thunder that we get works across the region a little bit earlier than 6 AM but it could be a bit damp out at daybreak in the Poconos and perhaps the Lehigh Valley.