Selasa, 10 Mei 2011

Uncertainty For The Weekend...Except A Chance of Rain

Arguably the best stretch of weather we've had this year so far has given us consistent temperatures in the 70's day after day since Friday...and you can thank the blocking pattern in the Atlantic that has been giving us this wonderful run of weather that will continue through the end of the work week. The bad news is that the weekend will not be as nice as we have thunder chances returning on Saturday as an upper level storm system and surface low meander through the Southeast, coupled as well with a frontal boundary drifting south from Canada.

There are questions over how widespread thunderstorm activity will be -- the Euro computer model is painting thunder chances for both Saturday and Sunday, with Sunday's chances more widespread for the region although scattered storms could be the rule both days this weekend.   The GFS is less robust in thunder chances -- that could be due to the placement of the upper level low over the Great Lakes on the GFS and the frontal boundary from Canada being much slower in its approach than on the Euro.   If the GFS is correct, it would yield more isolated thunderstorms and showers around town and less widespread activity.


The other thing we will have to watch this weekend is winds coming in off of the Atlantic ahead of the low.  If the Euro is right, winds could be more east than south, which is what the GFS is suggesting.  That could yield forecasting havoc on temperatures for the weekend as the Euro's solution suggests 60's while the GFS is saying 70's in today's run for the coming weekend.    Like we said a few days ago, hope you enjoy the coming days of weather!

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