Kamis, 27 Mei 2010

Fairly hot today....showers and storms tomorrow...



Today will be the warmest day of the week with highs in the 90 to 93 degree range around the Piedmont. The coastal low continues to slowly pull farther out to sea, and aside from some lingering increased surf and rip currents, the impacts of the low are now nil. Yesterday, Hartford, CT hit 99 degrees....their hottest May temperature on record. Today is one of those relatively rare days where we will actually see warmer conditions moving in from the north.

A few late-day storms could fire in the foothills or northwest Piedmont, but they will be few and far between.

Tomorrow looks like an active weather day with showers and storms becoming likely by afternoon as a cold front approaches from the north. Some of the storms could be severe tomorrow afternoon and evening as well.

I will maintain the chance of some showers and storms Saturday with lots of highs in the 70s. Sunday and Monday continue to look primarily dry with highs in the mid to upper 80s...maybe some lower 90s in some spots Memorial Day.

Rabu, 26 Mei 2010

Getting warmer...



As the area of low pressure off of the Carolina coast weakens and begins to move farther our to sea, its influence on our weather will continue to decrease. For the Piedmont, look for a dry day today with highs in the mid 80s. Along the coast, a few showers are still possible, and be aware that rip currents will continue to be an issue today as well.

Tomorrow is looking fairly hot with highs warming into the 90-93 degree range across much of the interior of the Carolinas. The day will feature lots of sunshine, but late in the day, some isolated storms will likely develop.

Friday's weather is looking unsettled. A disturbance will approach from the north, and it will arrive right in time to interact with daytime heating. So I anticipate a good coverage of showers and storms Friday, especially during the afternoon and evening hours.

Saturday's forecast is tricky. It looks like a front will stall out just to our south, and if that is the case, Saturday could be a cloudy and showery kind of day. We will see.

Highs will surge back up through the 80s Sunday and Monday, and our next front will approach Tuesday and Wednesday.

Selasa, 25 Mei 2010

Atlantic feed continues....

First of all, the East crew made it over to the North Carolina Zoo in Asheboro yesterday. It was my first time to head to the NC Zoo, and I was impressed. We had a great time....kids had a blast, and so did their mom and dad!



In terms of the weather, we continue to have a fetch of moisture off of the Atlantic Ocean due to an area of low pressure in the western Atlantic. I doubt this winds up becoming a classified system, but those along the coast need to be aware that the rip current threat will remain high for a few more days.

For the Piedmont, look for a mostly cloudy sky today with highs in the upper 70s to near 80. A few showers will pass through as well today.

Tomorrow, the impact of that Atlantic low will begin to lessen around the region, and it will get warmer. Look for mid 80s tomorrow, then upper 80s to lower 90s Thursday and Friday. I also expect some scattered showers and storms again Friday into Saturday.

Jumat, 21 Mei 2010

Shower and storm chances creeping back in...



Clouds are increasing today as our next system crawls closer to our region. As the day unfolds, the chance for a few showers and storms in the Piedmont of NC will increase as activity off to the west and southwest progresses our way. Highs today will mainly be in the upper 70s.

I anticipate showers at times tonight, and a fairly unsettled weekend is on tap. It will not rain all weekend, but I do expect some showers and storms at times both weekend days. A few strong to severe storms are also possible. Highs will be toward the upper 70s both days.

Next week, it still appears an area of low pressure will form in the western Atlantic and head toward the Carolina coast Tuesday or Wednesday. Depending on the exact track that low tracks, it could wind up enhancing or decreasing shower chances in the Piedmont.

For the time being, I will maintain pretty good chances for showers Monday through Wednesday for the Piedmont and especially the Coastal Plain.

Kamis, 20 Mei 2010

Dry Thursday....storms again this weekend...



Another significant tornado outbreak occurred yesterday evening and night in parts of Oklahoma, and the severe weather threat today shifts to an area from roughly Dallas into the Ozarks and the Lower Mississippi Valley.

For the Carolinas, this will be a dry day with a partly cloudy sky and highs in the upper 70s.

The system that has been producing all of the severe weather will continue to slowly shift eastward while gradually weakening as well. The system will be close enough that a few afternoon storms look possible late tomorrow in the mountains and possibly the foothills and western Piedmont. Highs tomorrow will warm into the lower 80s for most.

Over the weekend, the chances of at least scattered showers and storms look pretty good....especially during the afternoon and evening hours. If you have outdoor plans, be aware it will likely not be a wash out, but some showers and storms will have to be dodged from time to time.

I will maintain the chance of some scattered showers and storms in the forecast through at least Wednesday next week.

Interestingly enough, a lot of modeling is trying to develop some type of tropical system in the western Atlantic early next work week, and whatever could develop might wind up close to the Carolina coast by Tuesday or Wednesday. That might wind up enhancing the rain chances at some point next week.

Rabu, 19 Mei 2010

Quieter weather for a few days...



Some areas of locally heavy rain occurred overnight last night, especially from parts of Rowan county eastward across Davidson and Randolph counties. In fact, a few localized spots received over 3" of rain in Randolph county.

Today, I will forecast a partly sunny sky, and most Piedmont locations should see 70s for highs. There will be a chance for a few afternoon showers, but they will be scattered in nature, and I anticipate many folks remaining dry for the rest of the day.

Tomorrow and Friday now look dry with highs tomorrow in the upper 70s and up into the lower to mid 80s Friday.

Over the weekend, another system will track off to our north. However, it will be close enough to bring us the chance of some scattered showers and storms Saturday through Monday.

It still looks like we will get into a maritime flow off of the Atlantic next week, and that means some clouds and shower chances at times.

Selasa, 18 Mei 2010

Challenging temperature forecast today...



Showers and moved through overnight last night continue to push into the Atlantic Ocean this morning, but lots of low status clouds remain across the region. Today's temperature forecast all depends on how quickly we see any erosion of that stratus deck.

Imagine looking up above our heads. A little bit above the ground, we have this deck of stratus clouds. However, once you get above that, the air is very dry. That will allow the sun to try and erode those stratus clouds with time. However, how much success the sun will have is a big question mark, and that makes for a low-confidence temperature forecast today. For the Triad, I will go with mid to maybe upper 60s....maybe low to mid 70s around Charlotte and lower 70s around Raleigh.

A few showers will likely develop late this afternoon, but those showers will dissipate quickly this evening.

Tomorrow and Thursday look dry with highs in the 70s.

The weather pattern looks unsettled again as we head into the upcoming weekend. Daily shower and storm chances again look high both weekend days, especially during the afternoon and evening hours, and highs will likely be in the 70s.