The Song Remains The Same

Yesterday's shower and storm activity was smattered about in spots -- not quite a true scattering but perhaps a nudge more aggressive than isolated in terms of coverage.   The areas that got hit the worst for shower and storm activity were Delaware and Jersey for the most part -- with some parts of Burlington County and Mercer County picking up a quick couple of inches from slow moving thunderstorms, along with some damage to property and trees in a number of locations in Northern Burlington and Southern Mercer Counties.   For the most part though, storms were not widespread enough to impact the whole of the region and even in the northern burbs the storms were short duration and didn't drop *much* in the way of rainfall.

Today's setup is pretty similar but we add the presence of a weak frontal boundary in the region...this should ramp up the number of storms that pop and add a bit more thunderstorm activity to the northern and western burbs this afternoon.    However, some of us will again avoid rainfall while others could see a quick inch or two of rain from locally heavier storms.   The higher resolution guidance (below) suggests that development will take place after 3 PM, with the height of thunder coverage around 6-9 PM this evening.   There is some variety in what the computer models are spitting out for thunderstorms this afternoon/evening, with the NAM model suggesting a mid afternoon pop up of thunder and continuing the threat through the night while the GFS keeps the region dry through dinner before thunderstorms pop around the dinner hour and continuing through the night.     Regardless, the threat of thunder is in store for the region for later this afternoon and for a good chunk of the night but, like yesterday, some will miss out.

More:   Current Weather Page