2pm Wednesday...

Quick post here. Overall, I still think a nice rain event is on the way for the Carolinas, however, I am thinking around the I-85 corridor, the storm totals might be more around an inch or so. Convection around the Gulf of Mexico has been extremely intense, and it has been bowing out and racing ahead quickly. I feel that big bow echo entering southern Georgia is bad news for those wanting huge rain totals in the interior Carolinas.

This initial wave of rain will advance through this evening, and then we will wait and see what and where re-development takes place as the upper level energy dives in from the west. I am getting the idea that a good chunk of the development as we head into tomorrow might be east of the Charlotte and Triad zones. But we will see.

We will have to watch for severe potential, especially gusty winds, with the activity this evening. The bigger threat might be with the new development tomorrow.

It is a fluid situation, and all of this bears watching.