Mid-afternoon update....

A tornado watch has been issued for a good chunk of SC up into the Charlotte metro region of NC. The wedge has been successfully eroded away for most of the Piedmont, and the airmass is slowly getting more unstable. Most temps were in the 60s, and so were the dewpoints as of 2-3pm.

The sun is out in parts of GA up into parts of southern SC, and the airmass is rapidly getting more unstable there. Some of that unstable air will get pulled northward in the southerly flow ahead of the system.

The main band of rain and embedded storms will progress through the mountains and emerge into the foothills by early this evening.

Don't let the radar deceive you. The activity will probably not look terribly impressive as it begins to emerge out of the higher elevations. However, as the incoming dynamics interact with the more unstable air in the Piedmont and Upstate, the storms will likely intensify.

Damaging winds and a few tornadoes are the concern this evening into tonight.

Stay with News 14 Carolina on television for all of the latest information. And tonight is a perfect example of every home needing a NOAA weather radio.

Powerhouse system moving in...

Below is today's edition of the video...



The region will continue to see periods of rain today as a major storm system crawls into the area. The cool conditions we had in place yesterday will give way to a much milder airmass in time today, and most of the Piedmont will be well up into the 60s by later this afternoon. Some spots could even hit 70 degrees or so.

As the airmass gets more unstable, thunderstorms enter the forecast equation. While a few storms could be involved late this afternoon, I think tonight is the main time-frame for storms. This is a classic high shear/ low instability setup, and similar setups in the past have resulted in severe weather. We will have to be vigilant in watching for severe storms capable of producing damaging winds and even a few tornadoes tonight.

This is another case where the possibility exists over severe weather while the bulk of the community is sleeping. Every home should have a NOAA weather radio. If and when severe weather develops, we will be on the air covering it for you, but we can't wake you up through the TV sets. There is a chance this winds up being a non-event, but have a way of hearing watches and warnings in the event they are required.

Quiet and chilly weather resumes tomorrow through the weekend. A 'clipper' system will roll through Sunday and bring some clouds. However, the moisture still looks quite limited, and once again I have left precip out of the weekend forecast. Most high and low temps on a daily basis will be a little below average.

Next week...

Model madness continues for next week, and I still think there is the possibility of a storm system for the Deep South and/or Southeast Tuesday into Wednesday. I think the GFS is unusable for the time being (at least as of the 0z run today)....it over-amplifies things early next week over the eastern US and really crushes the disturbance that would create the storm system. The Canadian and European models both still have the system, and I think they are more correct. But time will tell....

Dynamic storm system on the way. . .

After some fairly chilly, docile weather Saturday and Sunday, the weather is about to get more active around here. Today, clouds will be on the increase for the Charlotte and Triad zones on up into the mountains, and some drizzle could develop in time. Highs today will largely be in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

The core of our next system will swing through later tomorrow and exit very early Wednesday. Rain will be a possibility from time to time tomorrow, with the heaviest rain during the day being the farther west you head....especially in the mountains and foothills. With time, the band of heavier rain will pivot eastward through the rest of the area. This will occur mainly Tuesday night. at that point, a few storms could be involved as well. This is a high shear/ low instability set up, and a few severe storms can't be ruled out, especially as you get closer to I-95.

Flooding will likely be an issue for the mountains and foothills. I fully anticipate some 3-5" rain amounts in those areas. For the I-85 corridor, this is looking like a 1-2" type rain event.

Later this week...

A fresh push of cold air will arrive later Wednesday, and highs will likely struggle to get out of the 40s in some Piedmont spots Thursday into the weekend.

A couple of 'clipper' type systems will move through late this week and then again Sunday. At this point, moisture looks pretty limited, so I don't have any precip chances in the forecast with those.

System next week...

It sure looks like another system will roll through the region Tuesday or Wednesday of next week. This is the one that has been hinted at by the modeling for a while now. That one definitely bears watching for the potential for at least some wintry weather somewhere around the region as a whole. WAY too soon for any type of details....but it has my interest.

Cold front moving through today...

Black Friday began in mild, breezy fashion with Piedmont temps surging up into the 60s ahead of an advancing cold front. That front will continues to move through the region today, and we will continue to have the chance of some showers into this afternoon. A few rumbles of thunder can't be ruled out, but there is not enough instability in place for a big worry with thunderstorms.

Temperatures will begin to drop this afternoon, and by the time Saturday morning arrives, most spots will be below freezing.

Sunshine will abound tomorrow and Sunday with highs in the 50s. Lows will remain below freezing through Monday morning.

Next system...

Our next storm system will roll through Tuesday and Wednesday next week. Look for shower chances both days, and some storms look like a possibility Tuesday night into early Wednesday.

Much colder air will flow in here later Wednesday, and the rain could change to snow up in the mountains prior to ending. We will have another chilly, primarily sunny couple of days to finish next week.

Happy Thanksgiving!

I want to wish everyone a happy Thanksgiving!

In terms of the weather....no the prettiest of Thanksgiving forecasts. We have somewhat of a cold air damming scenario in play today. The result is a lot of clouds and fairly cool temps. Piedmont highs will range from the mid 50s to lower 60s, and some light rain and drizzle is possible at times.

The wedge will get scoured out tonight, and that will mean steady or even rising temps.

Tomorrow, a cold front will slide through, and that front will bring some showers. So, as you head out to hit the sales, bring the umbrella. Highs tomorrow will actually occur during the morning with falling temps tomorrow afternoon.

Beautiful, albeit chilly, weather will unfold Saturday and Sunday. Piedmont highs will be 50s with lows at or below freezing. Both days will feature a sunny sky.

Next week...

Another storm system will roll through Tuesday and Wednesday of next week. Look for rain possibilities on both of those days with some colder air to follow by Thursday. That system could involve some mountain snow on the backside as colder air rushes in before the precip ends.

Quiet for travel in our region...

Below is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video.....



Today is the biggest travel day of the year, and if your travel plans take you anywhere around our immediate region, there will not be any weather problems for you. However, the travel trouble spot today is in the nation's midsection. Rain will occur from the Ozarks into the Ohio Valley. Snow will again fly from the Dakotas into Minnesota and Wisconsin.

For our area, we will see lots of sunshine today with cooler conditions than yesterday...most Piedmont highs will be between 60 and 64 degrees. Speaking of yesterday, a record high of 75 was achieved at the PTI airport.

Our Thanksgiving day is shaping up to be a cloudy, cool, and damp one. Highs will be pretty cool....only low to mid 50s in the Piedmont....and we will have a primarily cloudy sky. Some drizzle is possible at times as well.

Our next front will spread showers in from later Thursday night into Friday, especially Friday morning.

After that front clears, we will have a chilly, sunny forecast for the rest of the weekend. Piedmont highs Saturday and Sunday will be in the 50s with lows in the upper 20s and lower 30s. Highs will be in the 40s this weekend for many mountain spots.

Next week...

Another system will wrap up toward the Great Lakes and bring another cold front our way. Showers, and maybe a storm or two, will roll in Tuesday and Wednesday with a push of chillier air to follow.

The latest model runs have our system at the end of next week well to our north.

Mild with a few showers possible...

Below is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video....lots of good stuff in there....give it a watch.



Another mild day will unfold around the region today with highs in the lower 70s in many Piedmont spots. A cold front is approaching and will bring the chance of a few showers from this afternoon into this evening. However, rain amounts where the showers do occur will not be terribly impressive.

Tomorrow will be quiet around our region with lots of sun for much of the day and highs in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

Thanksgiving weekend...

Thanksgiving day is looking relatively cool and cloudy with highs in the mid to upper 50s to near 60. Some drizzle is possible, but no real appreciable rain.

Another cold front will slide through Friday and bring some rain, especially through the first half of the day. Then we are looking for full sunshine Saturday and Sunday with chillier temps. Highs should be in the 50s with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s.

Next week...

It looks like we will have a system move through Tuesday or Wednesday and bring some rain. After that, more chilly air should arrive, and there is the potential for another system around the Dec. 4-6 time frame. The GFS keeps popping a system with the potential for wintry weather with that one....but all I can really say at this point is that yes, there *might* be a system around that time frame......but then again, the northern branch might wind up stronger and crush it. So, nothing too exciting yet. But it is interesting to watch.

Changeable weather....

Some computer issues at work this morning, so this will be brief....no video this morning...I will be back in my regular routine tomorrow morning.

Some stubborn clouds today were slow to erode, but all in all, a mild few days will unfold. Highs today are in the upper 60s to lower 70s, and we should see low to mid 70s tomorrow.

Once again tomorrow morning, clouds and some fog will be with us, but there should be at least a few intervals of sun.

A cold front will drop in by tomorrow night, and ahead of that front, we will have a chance of a few showers from late tomorrow afternoon into tomorrow evening.

For the big travel day Wednesday, no problems around here with sunshine and highs in the 60s. However, another system will bring some snow to the northern Plains and rain and storms to the Midwest and central Plains.

Thanksgiving weekend...

I think most of us will be able to squeeze out a dry Thanksgiving day, although we will see a good deal of clouds. Highs look to be in the lower 60s for most.

A cold front will progress through Friday, bringing the chance of some rain for the big shopping day.

Chillier air will settle in for the remainder of the weekend. Highs will be in the 50s at best Saturday and Sunday despite full sunshine.

Next week...

Lots of question marks as we end November and begin December. The week looks fairly cold for much of the US, and there are hints of a storm system or two. We will see. . .

Fantastic weekend weather....big changes around Thanksgiving

Below is today's edition of the Carolina Weather Video...



We are back to full sunshine around our region today, and that will remain the case all weekend. Highs today around the Piedmont are in the mid to upper 50s to near 60. Highs tomorrow and Sunday will warm well up into the 60s.

Thanksgiving week...

The first few days of Thanksgiving week will be quite mild....upper 60s Monday for highs with some lower 70s possible Tuesday and maybe even Wednesday. However, that mild weather will then sharply change.

An arctic cold front will gradually settle closer to and eventually through the region later Wednesday and Thursday. A few showers are possible Wednesday, but it still looks like the best shower chances will be on Thanksgiving itself.

Much colder air will plunge in here by Black Friday....we might see some Piedmont highs shy of 50 Friday. The cold air only gets reinforced as we then go through Saturday and Sunday with highs and lows well below average.

How long will the cold last?

Good question. As of now, I think we will stay primarily below average for temps into early December, but there will be some modification at times.

Precip??

The GFS continues to pop up random snowstorms out there in fantasy land near the end of the cycle. It is certainly within the realm of possibility that somebody in our region will see some wintry precip during this upcoming colder pattern, however, I don't see anything specific for snow fans to get excited about as of now.

Some clouds today....sun back tomorrow...

A storm system is pulling into the region today. However, it is rapidly weakening, and the precip associated with the system continues to dwindle with time. A few showers are possible up in the mountains today, and a few sprinkles might make it into the northern foothills, but that will be about it. Most folks will only see some clouds today. Highs will be close to average for the time of year...upper 50s to near 60.

Another chilly night is ahead with lows back down into the 30s tonight, then full sunshine returns tomorrow through the weekend. Highs tomorrow will likely be in the upper 50s with highs back into the 60s through the weekend.

Thanksgiving week...

Mild weather will be with us Monday and Tuesday to start the Thanksgiving week with highs in the 60s to even lower 70s at times, especially Tuesday. However, big changes are on tap later in the week.

A cold front will drop in here around Wednesday and begin to bring the chance of some showers. This will be a rather slow frontal passage, so it looks like the chance of at least some rain will extend into Thanksgiving itself.

Behind that front, arctic air will engulf the eastern US. This is the blast of cold air that I have been discussing in this space for quite a while now. It looks like Black Friday and the rest of the following weekend will be quite chilly. How cold? Still working on that, but at least several days of below average high and low temps....and the cold will likely be with us right on into early December.

Snow fans keep wondering about the possibility of winter weather. Nothing overly exciting as of yet. However, as we make the switch to the colder pattern, there are signs of the storm track being at least somewhat active. We will see....

Sunshine returns!

It was a fairly rough and tumble evening across the region with showers and some severe storms. A number of wind damage reports came in all the way from South Carolina up into southern New England.

However, today we are on the back side of that departing low pressure area, and that means dry air has returned to the area. We will see sunshine all day with highs in the low to mid 60s. It will also be fairly breezy today on the back side of that low.

Our next system will swing in tomorrow, but it will be in a weakening state, and moisture will be very limited, so I don't expect any rain. However, we will have some clouds move through as our Thursday unfolds.

Another great weekend!

What else is new.....another great weekend forecast! Highs will be in the 60s with full sunshine this weekend. Morning lows will be in the upper 30s to near 40.

Thanksgiving week...

It will be a warm start to our Thanksgiving week with lots of sunshine Monday and Tuesday and highs warming into the upper 60s by Tuesday....even some lower 70s are quite possible.

However, a cold front will likely drop in here by Wednesday or Thursday, bringing some rain chances. Very cold air is waiting in the wings behind that front, and I will continue to say the window of opportunity opens for that cold air to drop in here as we go deeper into the Thanksgiving weekend.

Showers, a few storms possible

An area of low pressure will lift from Mississippi this morning to Ohio this evening. We will be on the warm side of the system, so our region will continue to have showers roll through from time to time today.

A few storms are possible this afternoon into early evening, and enough dynamics are in place that a few storms could produce some wind damage or a brief tornado. The only ingredient lacking is instability, so this is something we will watch through the day.

We return to dry, quiet weather tomorrow with sunshine and highs in the 60s. Another weak system will swing through Thursday, but it will not have enough moisture to work with to produce significant rain chances.

Weekend...

Another great weather weekend is on tap. Look for sunshine and highs in the 60 both days...lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s.

Thanksgiving week...

Thanksgiving week will begin with some warm afternoon temps...probably some lower 70s for highs on a couple of days. However, very cold air has taken up residence in Canada, and that cold air will bleed into the northern US in time.

At some point, the pattern will likely buckle and send that cold air into our region. The window of possibility for that to occur will likely open right around Thanksgiving.

Rain spreads in...

Our next system is organizing in Louisiana this morning, and that low will gradually lift northeast. By later tomorrow, the low will be tracking from eastern Tennessee into West Virginia, meaning we will be on the "warm" side of the system.

For our Monday, rain will spread in with time today, and high temps are a challenge to forecast. I will generally say low to mid 60s for the Piedmont, but it is tricky.

Look for periods of rain tonight through tomorrow. As the wind fields aloft strengthen tomorrow, a few storms could become involved. Although the chance is fairly limited, a few strong to severe storms are possible, mainly tomorrow afternoon. Lows tonight will only settle to near 50 with highs tomorrow highly dependent on rain coverage....60s generally speaking.

Later this week...

The system will be gone by Wednesday with lots of sun and highs up toward the upper 60s. A push of chillier air will briefly arrive for Friday into Saturday with some spots in the 50s for highs Friday. But, a substantial warm-up looks likely by Sunday and Monday....maybe some spots hitting lower 70s again by next Monday.

Cold air?...

Plenty of very cold air will invade Canada and the northern US later this week. Through the first half of Thanksgiving week next week, the upper air pattern will keep that colder air bottled up to our north, and it looks fairly warm around our region. However, in time, the pattern should buckle over the eastern US, allowing the colder air to make it in here. The timing is still a question mark, but later Thanksgiving weekend is a possibility.

Another fantastic weekend...

It seems essentially every weekend since late summer has been fantastic....and this one will be no different. Look for highs today to top out in the mid to upper 60s will full sunshine. A sunny sky continues for Saturday with highs in the upper 60s to around 70, and Sunday will still feature lots of sun and highs in the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Our next system is still set to arrive by Tuesday. There is still some question as to the exact timing of the system, but overall Tuesday still looks to be the day when most of the rain occurs. With that said, I can't rule out some showers trying to creep in later Monday. Highs will remain in the 60s.

Mid-week next week looks very quiet.

Next cold shot....

It appears a pretty decent shot of cold air will move in by the end of next work week. Highs will likely return to the 50s by Friday.

Thanksgiving week....

Lots of uncertainty. Extremely cold air will arrive in Canada next week and begin to bleed into the northern US with time as we head toward next weekend. A lot of modeling keeps the coldest air bottled up a little to our north for Thanksgiving week, but I don't think that is a certainty yet. Considering the magnitude of the cold air that will move into the northern US, conventional wisdom tells me that at some point later this month, we will get into that.

Terrific Veterans Day Weather...

First of all, a huge 'thank you' to all who served to protect our lives and liberties. We honor you and thank you for your service.

In terms of the weather, you can't draw it up much better than what we have on tap again today. Again, lots of sun is on the way with highs in the upper 60s to near 70 degrees.

We will continue to see a primarily sunny sky tomorrow through the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 60s....maybe some lower 70s in spots.

Next storm system...

It looks like the bulk of the rain from our next storm system will roll through Tuesday of next week. This will occur as a wave of low pressure rides up from the Gulf of Mexico and through our region.

Cold air later this month??

The computer models are all over the place with the possibility of a cold plunge later this month. As is often the case when we are looking at a true arctic plunge into the US in the 7-14 day range, the models are really struggling and inconsistent.

I am fully confident that some very cold air will invade the northern US later next week. Where and how quickly it moves from there is still very debatable, but I still favor the idea of colder air settling into our region around Thanksgiving week. But nothing is set in stone yet. With the degree and depth of cold air that will likely move into the northern states next week, it is almost inevitable that it will make it into our area at some juncture.

Quiet, pleasant weather marches on...

Our extremely quiet weather week rolls on today with lots of sunshine and pleasant afternoon temperatures. Highs will be a touch cooler today than yesterday, with most Piedmont spots hitting the upper 60s to lower 70s.

Sunshine will remain a fixture in our forecast right on into the upcoming weekend. Highs tomorrow through Sunday will largely be in the 60s, with morning lows dipping into the 30s again Friday and Saturday morning.

Next week...

Our next system will emerge from the Gulf of Mexico and spread some rain into the region next work week. As of now, the timing has slowed a bit, with the best chances for rain likely occurring Tuesday into Wednesday.

Cold blast later this month??

A huge ridge will go up along the Pacific coast next week while another ridge also develops near or just west of Greenland. This will allow some pure arctic air to begin to pour into North America. As far as the US is concerned, we will likely see that cold air begin to make a southward plunge later next week.

For our region, I still think a big blast of cold will settle in later this month, and I will continue to say anytime from around the 20th into Thanksgiving week is fair game.

Terrific Tuesday

Marvelous weather will unfold today with a sunny sky and most Piedmont highs in the lower 70s. Excellent stuff.

As a whole, the weather the rest of the week will be very quiet and very nice. Highs from tomorrow through the weekend will be a bit cooler than yesterday and today, but we are still talking 60s for highs with lots of sun.

Our next system will not arrive until Monday and Tuesday of next week, so we should remain dry through the weekend.

Next cold shot....

I am eying the period around November 20, give or take a day or two, as the time-frame for our next blast of cold air. Look like a big plunge of cold air will begin to invade the northern Plains later on next week, and that cold air should be able to surge into our region later on toward the weekend or so.

Winter Outlook....

If you have not seen it, my 2010-2011 Winter Outlook is linked at the top of the left column, and the Winter Forecast Video is docked in the right column.

Milder afternoon temps

It was another frosty start to our day on this Monday with lows in the Piedmont in the upper 20s to lower 30s. However, some warmer afternoon temps are on the way, and highs today will top out in the mid 60s for most.

Lows tonight will still be chilly, but we should be above the frost and freeze range in most spots with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s. We will continue the modifying trend in the high temp department tomorrow with highs around 70 or so under a sunny sky.

The weather right through the rest of the week and even into the weekend looks to be rather docile. We will see another area of high pressure build from eastern Canada down the eastern side of the mountains later this week, but all it will do this time around is knock our highs back down into the 60s. I still expect lots of sun through the week.

Our next significant storm system will likely not move in until Monday or even Tuesday of next week.

Tropics...

Tomas is no longer a classified system, and the Atlantic Basin is quiet today.

Cold airmass blowing in...

Today will be a fairly blustery day as a cold airmass blows into the region. Up in the mountains, the upslope snow machine is in full swing today, and many northwest facing slopes will pick up 2-4" of snow with some localized amounts over 6".

In the Piedmont, it will be a fairly breezy day with highs in the mid to at most upper 50s. As a disturbance ripples overhead late this afternoon and early this evening, a few pop-up showers are possible...maybe even a rumble of thunder. I also still think a few spots might see a sleet pellet or two.

Tonight lows will drop fairly close to freezing in many Piedmont spots. Highs tomorrow will struggle to make it to 50 degrees, and then lows Sunday morning will plunge into the mid to upper 20s.

Warm-up...

If you are wanting warmer temps, then you will like next week. Highs by the middle part of the week will reach to near 70 degrees or so, and most days will feature lots of sun.

Tomas...

Tomas is a hurricane once again, and the system is passing very close to western Haiti and eastern Cuba today. Tomas will then move through the eastern Bahamas and out to sea in the Atlantic.

Chilly, rainy Thursday

Today will be a rather chilly, rainy day. Waves of low pressure are riding up near the coast, and a lot of upper level dynamics are plunging in from the northwest. The result will be rainy conditions and chilly temps....highs only in the low to mid 50s for most.

This will be a decent rain event. The heaviest rain will likely be around roughly I-95 and points east, where over an inch could fall. For the I-85 corridor, I am thinking totals of around a half inch or so.

Colder air will begin blowing in here tomorrow, and it will be a breezy day overall. As some very cold temperatures aloft move overhead, a few isolated showers will be possible, and because the temps aloft are so cold, I wouldn't rule out a few Piedmont locations seeing a few sleet pellets.

Up in the mountains, the first upslope snow event of the season will begin tonight and wind down by Saturday. Many of the favored areas could see at least a couple of inches, and some areas that find themselves in the sweet spot might see 6 or 8 inches.

Weekend cold snap...

Lows by Saturday morning will be in the low to mid 30s and lows Sunday morning will likely be in the mid to upper 20s. Highs Saturday will likely struggle to hit 50 degrees in a number of Piedmont locations, with highs in the 50s and full sun Sunday.

We will see a fairly dramatic warm-up as we get into next work week. Highs by Tuesday and Wednesday will warm to around 70 or so.

Tomas...

Tomas is a tropical storm again this morning, and the system has a good chance of ramping back up to hurricane intensity. Tomas will pass just east of Jamaica and then head toward western Haiti and eastern Cuba. The system will then head through the Bahamas and out to sea in the Atlantic.

Rain chances develop in...

The chilly regime continues today with lots of clouds and highs again in the 50s. The atmosphere continues to moisten, and in time we will see some light rain and drizzle develop into the region today.

As an area of low pressure develops and strengthens along the coast, rain will settle in later tonight and through much of tomorrow. I don't expect heavy amounts of rain, but some spots could possible see up to a half inch or so. Temps tonight will be in the 40s with daytime temps tomorrow only making it to the low to mid 50s in many spots.

Big blast of cold air...

A major shot of colder air will begin to blow in here by Friday, and Friday will be a blustery day with highs in the mid to upper 50s. Some snow flakes will likely fly up in the mountains, and I can't rule out a few patches of sleet around the Piedmont Friday.

That shot of cold air will set us up for a pretty cold weekend. Highs Saturday might struggle to reach the lower 50s despite a sunny sky, and lows will be in the lower 30s by Saturday morning for most. Sunday morning will likely be the coldest morning with Piedmont lows in the upper 20s.

Milder air will return next work week with some 60s and even some 70s back in place for highs by mid-week.

Tomas...

Tomas has weakened to a tropical depression this morning, but the system should intensify again and head in the general direction of Hispanola.

Chilly conditions continue...

Yesterday we had lots of sun through the day. Today, we will see a good deal of mainly high clouds, filtering the sun and making today a bit cooler than yesterday. Most Piedmont highs today will be in the 57-61 degree range.

A cold air damming configuration continues to set up with a strong area of high pressure moving from the Great Lakes into the New England states. That will continue to push chilly air south into our region. At the same time, we will continue to have moisture get lifted up and over that wedge at the surface, and the result will continue to be clouds over the next couple of days. Later tomorrow, as an area of low pressure develops near the coast, some rain chances will spread in and continue into Thursday.

Drier and fairly cold conditions should spread in in gusty northwesterly winds Friday. Highs this weekend will only be in the 50s despite lots of sunshine, and lows both days this weekend could wind up in the light freeze category. Up in the mountains, some snow flakes could fly Friday.

Tomas...

After being heavily sheared yesterday, Tomas is strengthening again today. The system stands a good chance of becoming a hurricane again, and the most likely scenario is a turn to the north toward Hispanola later this week.

November is here....

November has arrived, and along with it will come a chilly week. Today will be the warmest day all week, and we are only talking about highs this afternoon in the lower 60s at most for the Piedmont.

A classic cold air damming event will unfold this week. Cold high pressure will develop from the Great Lakes into the New England states. That high will then wedge down into our region tomorrow through Thursday. Clouds will begin to roll in tonight and tomorrow, and by Wednesday, the chance of a chilly rain will arrive. Those rain chances will continue through Thursday, and some showers might even linger into Friday.

Highs tomorrow will be in the mid to upper 50s, then with the clouds and rain Wednesday and Thursday, it will be low to mid 50s at most....some places might struggle to even hit 50 Wednesday or Thursday.

Behind the storm system, the upcoming weekend looks dry with lots of sun but highs below average and a light freeze possible by Sunday morning.

Tomas...

Tomas is really struggling in the eastern Caribbean Sea today. The convection is displaced to the east of the center, further weakening is quite possible today.

Shear should relax on the system into mid-week, and at that point, some strengthening could occur. Eventually, Tomas could threaten the northern Caribbean.

How 'bout my Dawgs?! 7-2 now headed into the bye....I'll take it!